One out of two ain't bad...
So I pretty much screwed up the AL wild-card analysis, but I think the NL has been on par. I screwed up the AL Wild Card analysis because I forgot the three rules, which are, in order...
1) The A's never fade until the postseason.
Apparently I haven't learned from the 3 million times the A's have had where they go out and arbitrarily win a bunch of games, and so now I have to watch it all again and eat some crow on it. I swear, no matter what the Athletics' record is in the future, I won't give up on them until math does.
2) Low-budget teams that haven't pulled away won't (pull away).
I was being silly thinking that Minnesota would go out and get a hitter or another starter to make the playoffs. I was equally silly in thinking that the Indians, Tigers, or Blue Jays might try to pick up a player.
3) Look at the schedules.
I didn't actually pay attention to see who any of these teams were playing, and I suppose that would have been nice to know.
Now, the NL should have been a slam dunk for anyone; the Nationals were going to fade and the Astros were going to pull away, with Clemens, Oswalt, and Pettitte. It's hard to draw any hand that will consistently beat three aces. And the Nationals are in a world of trouble because they have to deal with the NL East for the rest of the year, which has more talent in it than any other division.
Here's an all NL-East Team...
C Mike Piazza, NY Mets
1B Carlos Delgado, Florida
2B Marcus Giles, Atlanta
SS Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia
3B David Wright, NY Mets or Chipper Jones, Atlanta
LF Miguel Cabrera, Florida
CF Andruw Jones, Atlanta or Carlos Beltran, NY Mets
RF Bobby Abreu, Philadelphia or Jose Guillen, Washington
SP: Pedro Martinez, NY Mets, Smoltz, Atlanta, Dontrelle Willis and Josh Beckett, Florida, Livan Hernandez, Washington
RP: Billy Wagner, Philadelphia and Chad Cordero, Washington
1) The A's never fade until the postseason.
Apparently I haven't learned from the 3 million times the A's have had where they go out and arbitrarily win a bunch of games, and so now I have to watch it all again and eat some crow on it. I swear, no matter what the Athletics' record is in the future, I won't give up on them until math does.
2) Low-budget teams that haven't pulled away won't (pull away).
I was being silly thinking that Minnesota would go out and get a hitter or another starter to make the playoffs. I was equally silly in thinking that the Indians, Tigers, or Blue Jays might try to pick up a player.
3) Look at the schedules.
I didn't actually pay attention to see who any of these teams were playing, and I suppose that would have been nice to know.
Now, the NL should have been a slam dunk for anyone; the Nationals were going to fade and the Astros were going to pull away, with Clemens, Oswalt, and Pettitte. It's hard to draw any hand that will consistently beat three aces. And the Nationals are in a world of trouble because they have to deal with the NL East for the rest of the year, which has more talent in it than any other division.
Here's an all NL-East Team...
C Mike Piazza, NY Mets
1B Carlos Delgado, Florida
2B Marcus Giles, Atlanta
SS Jimmy Rollins, Philadelphia
3B David Wright, NY Mets or Chipper Jones, Atlanta
LF Miguel Cabrera, Florida
CF Andruw Jones, Atlanta or Carlos Beltran, NY Mets
RF Bobby Abreu, Philadelphia or Jose Guillen, Washington
SP: Pedro Martinez, NY Mets, Smoltz, Atlanta, Dontrelle Willis and Josh Beckett, Florida, Livan Hernandez, Washington
RP: Billy Wagner, Philadelphia and Chad Cordero, Washington
posted by mike at 9:45 AM
1 Comments:
I contend that Beltran is absolutely not overrated, look at the stats. Don't forget, he was also a rookie of the year. And nobody even knew of Beltran before last year... come on. By the way, from 2001-2004, Beltran averaged 30 home runs, 100 RBIs, and 30 steals a season, which is pretty amazing.
Beltran got very lucky that he had the hot streak when he did, but that hot streak is not the only attribute of his career.
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