Analyzing the Fantasy Team...
So, I didn't really make it to my fantasy football draft; however, I sort of didn't think that I would make it, so I pre-ranked my players and let Yahoo take a crack at drafting a team for me. Here are the results:
QB- Kerry Collins, Oakland.
I think any idiot can throw to Randy Moss, which is good, because Collins isn't too sharp. Throw in my backup Jake Plummer and I should have plenty to worry about. Still, they could get on a hot streak, which would be amazing. Bottom line is that I'm playing with fire and will get burned, though fire can work both ways.
RB- Curtis Martin, NY Jets.
I like Curtis, though I probably wouldn't have drafted him personally. I do think I got some decent "value" with the pick, which I think was made for me in the third round. Martin had the year of his life last year and basically nobody expects him to repeat it, except for... the Jets. That's right, New York sent Lamont Jordan packing this year because they thought Martin could repeat. That's good enough for me (actually, good enough for the computer drafting for me.)
On a side note, I've heard a lot about having to draft quality running backs (studs, if you will) because they are the most consistent players. This logic has escalated to the point where people are drafting running backs with their first two picks in every draft. I think this is silly for lots and lots of reasons... but we'll get into that later.
RB- Chris Brown, Tennessee.
I think the reason why people draft great running backs is so they aren't stuck with platoon guys like Brown. I should have definitely been there to get another player.
RB- Kevan Barlow, San Francisco.
I think Barlow is actually still starting for San Fran, which means he gets to start for my team. I'm not enthused, but the Niners can't be much worse than last year, and Barlow could be better. When they finally decide to start Alex Smith, they'll be better.
WR- Randy Moss, Oakland.
If I was going to rank Collins, I was going to draft Moss. I'll let my team rest on someone who likes booze and someone who likes weed, that seems to be a nice move. On the plus side, smoking weed hasn't really stopped Moss from being good in the past. And I think he's like, the best receiver in football.
WR- Marvin Harrison, Indianapolis.
I guess Yahoo decided to draft both these guys for me because of the running back run that occurred earlier. And I think it's kind of nice. Is having a stud WR the same thing as having a stud RB? That's the real question here. I do think that I'm tired of seeing crappy WRs give me zeroes every week. That's no good at all.
WR- Nate Burleson, Minneapolis.
This guy had 1,000 yards and nine TDs last year with Moss on his team. His numbers should be better now. Of course, I really have no basis for this idea.
WR- Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona.
Normally, rookie wideouts sort of suck, but Fitzgerald didn't. I think that makes him a good fantasy play for this next year. Besides, Kurt Warner can't be any worse than Shaun King or Josh McCown, can he?
TE- Randy McMichael, Miami.
This is really where the autodraft came in. I don't like this guy even in real life. I think he was involved in some sort of domestic dispute that he shouldn't have been in.
BENCH!
QB- Jake Plummer, Denver.
If you're going for broke, go for broke. Plummer is an all-or-nothing nightmare that can score a lot of points in a hurry, or can actually achieve the rare "negative points." I do like the idea of wild inconsistency for my backup. Interestingly enough, people still consider Rod Smith, Darius Watts, and Ashley Lelie solid fantasy plays. It's weird how this game works.
RB- Ricky Williams, Miami.
I picked this guy up. I imagine there was some sort of live draft consensus that he shouldn't have been picked, which is why he was available. But I already have three running backs who are marginal, why not pick up a fourth? Ricky's been good in the preseason anyway.
WR- Troy Williamson, Minnesota.
He's got a chance to put up numbers, and he's fast. Minnesota took him high for a reason. Plus, I can cut him at will.
TE- Jermaine Wiggins, Minnesota.
I think the computer took him too, but oh well. I guess I need a backup tight end who isn't horrible.
K- Jason Elam, Denver, and Josh Reed, Pittsburgh.
Perfectly average kickers for an average team. Exactly what I like.
And in a surprise to my rankings, defensive players!
D- Champ Bailey, Patrick Kerney, Terrell Suggs, Teddy Lehman, and Brian Dawkins.
These are all name guys who might be good and might not be good, according to the whims of the settings. I have this rule of drafting guys I've heard of on defense, since I don't know too much about the specialists.
And here's my thought about drafting running backs with the first picks:
There are a handful of quarterbacks who can win games for you by themselves. Players such as Manning, Culpepper, and McNabb should be taken high because they can do this.
There is never really any guarantee what you will get out of a receiver not named Harrison, Moss, or Owens (and to a lesser extent, Reggie Wayne now, Joe Horn, and Hines Ward). If you get a chance to get one of these guys, you should do it.
What makes Ahman Green better than, say, Clinton Portis? I don't know, and you don't either. What makes McAllister better than, say, Curtis Martin? We don't know.
What Corey Dillon shows up? Is Rudi Johnson as good as his numbers? All these are valuable questions. But people just take running backs with good stats because they're "studs." I like the idea of guaranteed points, but I would rather take a chance with a running back (where even the bad ones are ok) than QB or WR, where you can get stuck with zeroes at times. I'd counter with saying that there is so much value at running back that it makes drafting any mid-tier RB with your second-round pick a waste.
That's all.
QB- Kerry Collins, Oakland.
I think any idiot can throw to Randy Moss, which is good, because Collins isn't too sharp. Throw in my backup Jake Plummer and I should have plenty to worry about. Still, they could get on a hot streak, which would be amazing. Bottom line is that I'm playing with fire and will get burned, though fire can work both ways.
RB- Curtis Martin, NY Jets.
I like Curtis, though I probably wouldn't have drafted him personally. I do think I got some decent "value" with the pick, which I think was made for me in the third round. Martin had the year of his life last year and basically nobody expects him to repeat it, except for... the Jets. That's right, New York sent Lamont Jordan packing this year because they thought Martin could repeat. That's good enough for me (actually, good enough for the computer drafting for me.)
On a side note, I've heard a lot about having to draft quality running backs (studs, if you will) because they are the most consistent players. This logic has escalated to the point where people are drafting running backs with their first two picks in every draft. I think this is silly for lots and lots of reasons... but we'll get into that later.
RB- Chris Brown, Tennessee.
I think the reason why people draft great running backs is so they aren't stuck with platoon guys like Brown. I should have definitely been there to get another player.
RB- Kevan Barlow, San Francisco.
I think Barlow is actually still starting for San Fran, which means he gets to start for my team. I'm not enthused, but the Niners can't be much worse than last year, and Barlow could be better. When they finally decide to start Alex Smith, they'll be better.
WR- Randy Moss, Oakland.
If I was going to rank Collins, I was going to draft Moss. I'll let my team rest on someone who likes booze and someone who likes weed, that seems to be a nice move. On the plus side, smoking weed hasn't really stopped Moss from being good in the past. And I think he's like, the best receiver in football.
WR- Marvin Harrison, Indianapolis.
I guess Yahoo decided to draft both these guys for me because of the running back run that occurred earlier. And I think it's kind of nice. Is having a stud WR the same thing as having a stud RB? That's the real question here. I do think that I'm tired of seeing crappy WRs give me zeroes every week. That's no good at all.
WR- Nate Burleson, Minneapolis.
This guy had 1,000 yards and nine TDs last year with Moss on his team. His numbers should be better now. Of course, I really have no basis for this idea.
WR- Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona.
Normally, rookie wideouts sort of suck, but Fitzgerald didn't. I think that makes him a good fantasy play for this next year. Besides, Kurt Warner can't be any worse than Shaun King or Josh McCown, can he?
TE- Randy McMichael, Miami.
This is really where the autodraft came in. I don't like this guy even in real life. I think he was involved in some sort of domestic dispute that he shouldn't have been in.
BENCH!
QB- Jake Plummer, Denver.
If you're going for broke, go for broke. Plummer is an all-or-nothing nightmare that can score a lot of points in a hurry, or can actually achieve the rare "negative points." I do like the idea of wild inconsistency for my backup. Interestingly enough, people still consider Rod Smith, Darius Watts, and Ashley Lelie solid fantasy plays. It's weird how this game works.
RB- Ricky Williams, Miami.
I picked this guy up. I imagine there was some sort of live draft consensus that he shouldn't have been picked, which is why he was available. But I already have three running backs who are marginal, why not pick up a fourth? Ricky's been good in the preseason anyway.
WR- Troy Williamson, Minnesota.
He's got a chance to put up numbers, and he's fast. Minnesota took him high for a reason. Plus, I can cut him at will.
TE- Jermaine Wiggins, Minnesota.
I think the computer took him too, but oh well. I guess I need a backup tight end who isn't horrible.
K- Jason Elam, Denver, and Josh Reed, Pittsburgh.
Perfectly average kickers for an average team. Exactly what I like.
And in a surprise to my rankings, defensive players!
D- Champ Bailey, Patrick Kerney, Terrell Suggs, Teddy Lehman, and Brian Dawkins.
These are all name guys who might be good and might not be good, according to the whims of the settings. I have this rule of drafting guys I've heard of on defense, since I don't know too much about the specialists.
And here's my thought about drafting running backs with the first picks:
There are a handful of quarterbacks who can win games for you by themselves. Players such as Manning, Culpepper, and McNabb should be taken high because they can do this.
There is never really any guarantee what you will get out of a receiver not named Harrison, Moss, or Owens (and to a lesser extent, Reggie Wayne now, Joe Horn, and Hines Ward). If you get a chance to get one of these guys, you should do it.
What makes Ahman Green better than, say, Clinton Portis? I don't know, and you don't either. What makes McAllister better than, say, Curtis Martin? We don't know.
What Corey Dillon shows up? Is Rudi Johnson as good as his numbers? All these are valuable questions. But people just take running backs with good stats because they're "studs." I like the idea of guaranteed points, but I would rather take a chance with a running back (where even the bad ones are ok) than QB or WR, where you can get stuck with zeroes at times. I'd counter with saying that there is so much value at running back that it makes drafting any mid-tier RB with your second-round pick a waste.
That's all.
posted by mike at 9:33 PM
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