Bracket update... BRACKETOLOGY
Since I posted on Tuesday, the bubble has become infinitely clearer.
We can eliminate all of these teams from bubble consideration: San Diego State, UMass, Clemson, Bradley, and Alabama.
Stanford and Air Force are in real trouble.
Let's try to clarify this with a real quick "back of the envelope" re-seeding, looking at Lunardi for guidance...
The 1's: UCLA*, OSU*, Kansas, Florida*
OSU is a #1 if they beat Michigan, Florida is a #1 if they do alright in the SEC tourney, and UCLA is a #1 if neither Wisconsin or UNC win their conference tourneys.
The 2's: Wisconsin, UNC, Texas A & M*, Georgetown
Texas A & M is a #1 if they win the Big 12 tourney.
The 3's: Southern Illinois, Memphis, Washington State, Pittsburgh
All of these teams have done enough now to secure their slots.
The 4's: Louisville, Texas, Nevada, Maryland.
I'm not buying UNLV at all as a #4. Louisville's win over WVU has to be enough given Maryland's struggles.
The 5's: UNLV, Tennessee, Virginia, Notre Dame.
UVA could be a 3 over Southern Illinois if they win their conference tourney.
The 6's: BYU*, Oregon, Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt.
BYU is on the rise.
The 7's: Duke, Butler, Boston College, Creighton.
The 8's: Xavier*, USC, Kentucky, Marquette.
Xavier is on the rise here as well. Marquette is falling fast...
The 9's: 'Nova, the 'Cuse, Indiana, ODU.
The 10's: Michigan State, Arizona, GT, Texas Tech.
The 11's: WINTHROP, Purdue, Kansas State, WVU
The 12's: WRIGHT STATE*, VCU, Florida State, Illinois*
Tougher than we think... Illinois takes Air Force's slot.
The 13's: Vermont, DAVIDSON, ORAL ROBERTS, GONZAGA
The 14's: Akron (I think they win the MAC), Long Beach State, Holy Cross, UPENN
The 15's: WEBER STATE, NIAGARA, BELMONT, TX A&M CC
The 16's: NORTH TEXAS, DELAWARE STATE, EKU, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE v. CCSU.
Last 4 out: Drexel, Stanford, Appalachian State, Air Force
Next 4: Missouri State, Clemson, UMass, Michigan.
Some thoughts on the bubble:
An extended Air Force discussion is coming; Stanford is out. WVU is in for me but out for almost everyone else. I just think WVU's record deserves a good hard look. ODU has to be in at this point. At the 11th hour, I put in two Big 10 teams.
We can eliminate all of these teams from bubble consideration: San Diego State, UMass, Clemson, Bradley, and Alabama.
Stanford and Air Force are in real trouble.
Let's try to clarify this with a real quick "back of the envelope" re-seeding, looking at Lunardi for guidance...
The 1's: UCLA*, OSU*, Kansas, Florida*
OSU is a #1 if they beat Michigan, Florida is a #1 if they do alright in the SEC tourney, and UCLA is a #1 if neither Wisconsin or UNC win their conference tourneys.
The 2's: Wisconsin, UNC, Texas A & M*, Georgetown
Texas A & M is a #1 if they win the Big 12 tourney.
The 3's: Southern Illinois, Memphis, Washington State, Pittsburgh
All of these teams have done enough now to secure their slots.
The 4's: Louisville, Texas, Nevada, Maryland.
I'm not buying UNLV at all as a #4. Louisville's win over WVU has to be enough given Maryland's struggles.
The 5's: UNLV, Tennessee, Virginia, Notre Dame.
UVA could be a 3 over Southern Illinois if they win their conference tourney.
The 6's: BYU*, Oregon, Virginia Tech, Vanderbilt.
BYU is on the rise.
The 7's: Duke, Butler, Boston College, Creighton.
The 8's: Xavier*, USC, Kentucky, Marquette.
Xavier is on the rise here as well. Marquette is falling fast...
The 9's: 'Nova, the 'Cuse, Indiana, ODU.
The 10's: Michigan State, Arizona, GT, Texas Tech.
The 11's: WINTHROP, Purdue, Kansas State, WVU
The 12's: WRIGHT STATE*, VCU, Florida State, Illinois*
Tougher than we think... Illinois takes Air Force's slot.
The 13's: Vermont, DAVIDSON, ORAL ROBERTS, GONZAGA
The 14's: Akron (I think they win the MAC), Long Beach State, Holy Cross, UPENN
The 15's: WEBER STATE, NIAGARA, BELMONT, TX A&M CC
The 16's: NORTH TEXAS, DELAWARE STATE, EKU, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE v. CCSU.
Last 4 out: Drexel, Stanford, Appalachian State, Air Force
Next 4: Missouri State, Clemson, UMass, Michigan.
Some thoughts on the bubble:
An extended Air Force discussion is coming; Stanford is out. WVU is in for me but out for almost everyone else. I just think WVU's record deserves a good hard look. ODU has to be in at this point. At the 11th hour, I put in two Big 10 teams.
posted by mike at 8:21 AM
1 Comments:
After tonight... I'm giving up. Xavier and Nevada losing means were down to 4 from 6 on bubble teams - but I'm putting 5 on the bubble as teams who are going deep in conference tourney's should make GT sweat. ODU, GT, Purdue, Illinois, and K-State? What about Air Force and Drexel? This is going to be ugly come Sunday. I think Air Force and Georgia Tech is going to be a debated topic. And was K-State beating Texas Tech really enough? Or Purdue at Iowa? I just don't know anymore.
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